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International Journal of Public Health

Frontiers Media SA

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match International Journal of Public Health's content profile, based on 17 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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WELL-ED: Wellbeing and Education linkages in school-aged children - A protocol for a population-based register study and survey of adolescents

Kosola, S.; Salonen, S.; Miettinen, J.; Horhammer, I.; Impio, A.-R.; Kumpulainen, S. M.; Sergejeff, J.; Numari, S.; Laitinen-Parkkonen, P.; Tapola-Haapala, M.; Aaltio, E.; Thorn, L.

2026-06-08 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355053 medRxiv
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Introduction Education is a core social determinant of health for children and adolescents. Unfortunately, academic achievement, health, and wellbeing of adolescents have decreased in many developed countries in the past decade. The purpose of the Wellbeing and Education linkages in school-aged children (WELL-ED) study is to examine associations of school absences and academic achievement with use of school-based and community-based health and social welfare services. In addition, we will assess user experiences and multi-sector services pathways of school-aged children for a better understanding of how the service system could respond to the needs of children. Methods and analysis WELL-ED is a large population-based study that combines register data on school absences and educational support from municipalities with register data on healthcare and social service use collected from wellbeing services counties in Finland. The study cohort includes all children who attended mandatory education in public schools in Southern Finland in school year 2023-2024. A smaller cohort of adolescents in school year 8 was invited to complete a user experience survey. The primary outcomes of this study are related to equity of service use. Ethics and dissemination The Regional Committee on Medical Research Ethics of the Helsinki and Uusimaa Hospital District (2803/2024) has approved the WELL-ED study protocol. For the survey, adolescents in year 8 and parents of adolescents younger than 15 provided informed consent. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals, summaries will be sent to participating municipalities and wellbeing services counties and press releases will be written on key findings.

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A risk-of-contagion index using a Bayesian based model for the COVID-19 epidemic in Mexico

Corona-Moreno, R.; Acuna-Zegarra, M. A.; Santana-Cibrian, M.; Velasco-Hernandez, J. X.

2026-06-10 health policy 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355274 medRxiv
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During the COVID-19 pandemic, limited testing capacity and reporting delays complicated epidemic surveillance and decision-making in Mexico. We calibrated \textit{covidestim}, a Bayesian nowcasting model, to estimate the total SARS-CoV-2 infections from reported cases and deaths using Mexican surveillance data. Disease-progression distribution priors were calibrated using Mexico City records and validated through comparisons with national seroprevalence surveys, hospitalization data, and annual reported severe-case rates across all states. Using the reconstructed estimates of active infections, we implemented an event-based risk framework that quantifies the probability of encountering at least one infectious individual in gatherings of different sizes. This probability was subsequently translated into a four-level epidemiological traffic-light indicator and computed at both state and municipality levels. The resulting estimates revealed substantial spatial heterogeneity that is obscured by state-level aggregation, particularly in states with marked differences between urban and rural municipalities. To evaluate consistency with public-health indicators, we compared the proposed risk classification with the official Mexican epidemiological traffic-light system, considering interpretable gathering sizes relevant to public-health decision making. Weekly reports derived from this framework were delivered to policymakers in the State of Queretaro in Mexico, as an anticipation tool for school reopening and public-space management. This demonstrates that this Bayesian reconstruction of infections combined with event-based risk metrics can provide an interpretable and generalizable municipality-level complement to routine surveillance systems, particularly in regions with limited testing capacity and heterogeneous local transmission dynamics.

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Arts and Cultural Engagement and Multidimensional Well-being in Later Life

Noguchi, T.; Erhua, S.; Hayashi, T.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354582 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Arts and cultural engagement may contribute to well-being in later life. However, evidence from longitudinal studies from Asia, including Japan, remains limited. This study examined the association of arts and cultural engagement with subsequent multidimensional well-being among older adults in Japan, one of the fastest-aging countries. Research Design and Methods: This longitudinal study used panel data from 354 individuals aged 60 and older (mean age 74.0 years; 78.6% women) who completed self-administered questionnaires by mail between 2022 and 2024. The PERMA-Profiler was used to assess five multifaceted aspects of psychological well-being: positive emotion, engagement, relationships, meaning, and accomplishment. Frequencies of arts and cultural engagement at baseline were measured for active (e.g., activities by individuals and participation in groups, such as music and painting) and receptive (e.g., visiting museums, galleries, and theaters) forms. Results: Multivariable linear regression analysis, adjusted for the covariates including baseline PERMA scores, showed that higher frequencies of active engagement were positively associated with higher PERMA scores for all domains. Higher frequencies of receptive engagement were associated with the domains of positive emotion, meaning, and accomplishment, but not clearly associated with engagement and relationships. Restricted cubic spline analyses suggested clearer positive frequency-response patterns for active engagement than for receptive engagement. Discussion and Implications: Arts and cultural engagement, both active and receptive forms, was associated with subsequent multiple aspects of well-being in later life. These findings suggest the importance of ensuring access to arts and cultural opportunities for older adults to create, participate, and connect.

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A wealth index based on two-component polychoric principal component analysis reduces urban bias and improves socioeconomic classification in low- and middle-income country surveys: a validation study using LSMS surveys

Vidaletti, L. P.; Dos Santos, A. M.; Hellwig, F.; Barros, A. J. D.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354245 medRxiv
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Background: The traditional wealth index, based on principal component analysis (PCA), used in the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS), suffers from urban bias, distorting estimates of health inequality. We compared the traditional index (PEAR1) with an alternative two-component polychoric PCA index (POLY2) using annual expenditure from 12 LSMS surveys as the gold standard to determine which provides more accurate SEP measures for equitable policy targeting. Methods: We compared the traditional wealth index (PEAR1) with a two-component polychoric PCA approach (POLY2) using 12 LSMS (Living Standards Measurement Study) surveys (2015-2022) from 12 African countries. Annual household consumption expenditure was the gold standard. We assessed agreement using weighted Cohen's kappa and validated against education (proportion of households with secondary or higher education) using the concentration index (CIX) and slope index of inequality (SII). Results: The POLY2 index showed higher agreement with expenditure quintiles (average national weighted kappa = 43.3%) than the PEAR1 index (35.1%), with notable improvements in urban (43.5% vs. 27.5%) and rural (35.3% vs. 22.4%) areas. POLY2 also attenuated extreme household distributions observed in PEAR1. Education validation showed that POLY2 produced intermediate inequality gradients between the flatter expenditure-based gradient and the steeper PEAR1-based gradient. Conclusion: The POLY2 wealth index is superior to the traditional index, reducing urban-rural bias and providing more accurate socioeconomic classifications. Its adoption in large-scale surveys such as DHS and MICS is recommended to improve equitable monitoring of health inequalities in low- and middle-income countries.

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Interoceptive accuracy and attention across multimorbidity classes: A latent class analysis

Mulder, J.; Boeker, C. M.; Smit, A. K.; Kiefte-de Jong, J. C.

2026-06-09 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355147 medRxiv
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Background Multimorbidity is increasingly prevalent, and associated with worse clinical and psychosocial burdens. Interoception, the brain's ability to sense and interpret internal bodily signals, may contribute to multimorbidity, through its link with health behaviors, stress regulation, and mental health. This study examines whether self-reported interoceptive accuracy and attention is associated with multimorbidity, by identifying multimorbid subgroups and their interoceptive profiles. Methods Morbidity classes were identified through latent class analyses in two Dutch survey datasets, focusing on depression and alexithymia (DA-dataset; N = 671) and lifestyle factors (L-dataset; N = 1022). Linear regression analyses were used to assess interoceptive accuracy and attention (by the Interoceptive Accuracy Scale and Interoceptive Attention Scale respectively) among different subgroups. Results Multimorbid subgroups were characterized by older age, low socioeconomic position, and elevated physical, psychological, and behavioral problems. Multimorbid classes exhibited lower interoceptive accuracy (DA-dataset: B = -1.14, 95% CI = [-2.89, 0.62]; L-dataset: B = -2.36, 95% CI = [-3.83, -0.89]) and higher attention (DA-dataset: B = 3.62, 95% CI = [0.97, 6.27]; L-dataset: B = 1.07, 95% CI = [-1.42, 3.56]) compared to healthier classes. Conclusion Multimorbid populations demonstrated lower interoceptive accuracy and higher interoceptive attention. This highlights the psychosocial complexity of multimorbid populations which may impact their self-management and health behavior. These findings underscore the need to expand treatments to include psychosocial domains for multimorbid patients.

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Assessment of safe wheeled walker use in frail older adults: Development of a video-based rating instrument

Leonhardt, R.; Lindemann, U.; Schneider, M.; Rapp, K.; Klenk, J.

2026-06-08 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354904 medRxiv
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Background: Wheeled walkers can improve safety during walking, but improper use may increase fall risk among frail older adults. No suitable tool exists to assess safe indoor wheeled walker use in this population. This study aimed to develop and validate a video-based expert assessment tool. Methods: Based on the literature and expert consensus, seven problematic indoor situations were identified, and an assessment tool with five safety criteria per situation was developed (maximum score = 35). Fifty participants (mean age 83.9 years, 64% women) from a geriatric rehabilitation clinic and a nursing home were video-recorded while using a rollator. Expert ratings were compared with nursing staff ratings, self-ratings, and the Timed Up and Go test to evaluate validity. Intra- and inter-rater reliability were determined from independent ratings by two physiotherapists and a repeated expert rating after seven days. Sensitivity to change was assessed after two weeks of rehabilitation, and feasibility by the time required for assessment. Results: The expert score of rater 1 at baseline was 28.5 points, and assessment required a mean of 17.5 minutes. Intra-rater reliability was excellent (ICC = 0.98) and inter-rater reliability was good (ICC = 0.80). Validity analyses showed the strongest association with nursing staff assessments (r = 0.74) and a moderate association with the Timed Up and Go test (r = -0.45). After two weeks, patients improved by an average of 2.38 points (8.4% of baseline score). Conclusions: The new instrument demonstrated high reliability, acceptable validity, sensitivity to change, and good feasibility for assessing safe wheeled walker use in frail older adults. Trial registration number and date of registration: DRKS00038358, 07/11/2025

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Predictors of Road Safety behaviors among Boda-Boda Operators and their passengers in Kampala: A Mixed-Methods Study

Ainembabazi, R.; Kimuli, D.; Murami, T.; Wafula, S. T.; mgeyi, E.; Kwesiga, J. B.; Kibingo, P.; Mugumya, I.; Atulomah, N. O.; Nsubuga, D.

2026-06-07 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354085 medRxiv
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Background Despite existing road safety regulations, commercial motorcycle riders commonly referred to as "Boda Bodas" in Uganda continue to experience high rates of injuries due to road traffic accidents resulting from unsafe riding behaviours, contributing significantly to morbidity and mortality among both riders and passengers. Safe riding behaviours are less well documented, as well as factors associated with the observance of those behaviours. This study aimed to determine factors associated with safe riding behaviors for both boda-boda riders and their passengers in Kampala Central Division. Methods A cross-sectional survey study design was conducted using a convergent parallel mixed-methods design guided by the PRECEDE model. Quantitative data were collected from 424 riders through structured questionnaires administered by trained research assistants. Binary Logistic regression was used to determine the independent predictors of safe road riding behaviors, and Adjusted Odds ratios (AORs) have been reported. Data were analyzed using descriptive and inferential statistics, with a p-value <0.05 considered statistically significant. Qualitative data were collected simultaneously with quantitative data through in-depth semi-structured interviews with 10 passengers to capture perceptions of rider behaviors and safety practices. Thematic analysis was applied, and results were triangulated to highlight convergences and divergences between quantitative and qualitative findings, providing a comprehensive understanding of safety determinants for both riders and passengers. Results Of the 424 riders (mean rider age was 29.56 {+/-} 5.71), overall, 276 (65.1%) of riders exhibited unsafe riding behaviors. In the bivariate analysis with Logistic regression, predisposing factors (education, marital status, religion, and willingness to obey traffic regulations), and reinforcing factors (family encouragement) were significantly associated with safe riding behaviors. However, in the adjusted model, secondary (AOR=0.50; 95% CI:0.30-0.85) and post-secondary education (AOR=0.57; 95% CI:0.33-0.98), being married (AOR=0.56; 95% CI:0.34-0.91), Christian religion (AOR=2.98; 95% CI:1.63-5.47), willingness to obey traffic regulations (AOR=0.41; 95% CI:0.24-0.70), union advocacy (AOR=1.76; 95% CI:1.03-3.01), and well-maintained roads (AOR=1.65; 95% CI:1.07-2.55) were significant predictors of safe riding behaviors. Qualitative interviews further highlighted barriers to safety, including a lack of helmets, over-speeding, disregard for traffic regulations, and poor road infrastructure. Conclusions Rider and passenger safety is still low, interdependent, and influenced by multiple factors. Integrated interventions focusing on education, stronger families, religious affiliations, union safety advocacy, and stricter enforcement of traffic regulations are vital for enhancing safety for both riders and passengers.

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Exploring emergency department attendance patterns during the UEFA European Football Championship 2024 in Germany

Charfeddine, N.; Schranz, M.; Schlump, C.; Rupprecht, M.; Ullrich, A.; Diercke, M.; AKTIN Research Group, ; Estupinan Mendez, J.

2026-06-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355151 medRxiv
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Background: Mass gathering events (MGEs) are associated with several public health challenges and may cause a strain on healthcare services. Literature findings on the impact of MGEs on emergency departments (EDs) are heterogeneous. Objectives: To examine shifts in ED attendance characteristics during a major sporting tournament, namely the UEFA European Football Championship 2024 held in Germany. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study using ED data from the Emergency Department Data Registry. We compared baseline ED attendance characteristics between the tournament and the reference period, defined as two weeks before and two weeks after the tournament, and between Germany game days and non-Germany game days. Hourly attendance patterns were analysed for all Germany games using a reference range. Results: We included data from 41 EDs, totalling 253,493 attendances during the study period. A 1.57% increase in attendance was observed during the tournament compared to the reference period, with baseline characteristics remaining similar. The median daily attendance within all EDs was slightly lower on Germany game days (4066) compared to non-Germany game days (4128). Modest changes were observed in the hourly attendance on Germany game days, most notable during the last Germany game where a decrease in attendance below the reference range extended over three hours. Conclusions: The observed shifts in ED attendance were minimal, suggesting that no major changes of public health relevance occurred in ED attendance during the tournament. We highlight the utility of using ED data for monitoring and for enhancing the understanding of the public health risks and challenges associated with MGEs.

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Tune In or Take the Stage? A Randomized Controlled Trial Comparing After-School Music and Theatre Training with Neuroimaging Outcomes for Youth

Jamey, K.; Herschel, E.; Noel, C.; Villanueva, J.; Reyes, M.; Hsu, E.; Ilari, B.; Mack, W.; Luo, S.; Habibi, A.

2026-06-05 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354844 medRxiv
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Introduction: While growing evidence suggests that music training supports child development, few long-term randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have rigorously tested these claims. Moreover, it remains unclear whether the benefits are confined to music-specific domains or extend to higher-order cognitive functions such as inhibitory control (IC), a core executive function associated with long-term outcomes in academic achievement, career success, socio-emotional health, and physical well-being. This paper presents the protocol for the Extracurricular Activity and Child Early Learning and Development (EXCEL) trial, an RCT designed to assess the feasibility of a long-term music training program focusing on the brain and behavioral correlates of IC. Methods: A total of 126 children, aged 6 to 8 years and residing in neighborhoods with limited resources in Los Angeles, were individually randomized to either a music (intervention) or theatre (active control) after-school program. Both programs were delivered over 24 months by established community arts organizations. Eligibility criteria included: average intellectual functioning, no major medical or psychiatric conditions, and MRI eligibility. Children with prior formal music training exceeding six months or severe hearing impairment were excluded. Before the intervention began, all participants completed baseline behavioral and neuroimaging assessments. The primary trial aim was to assess the effects of extended music training, relative to theatre training, on changes in measures of IC (i.e., Go/No-Go task and delayed gratification) and related neural functional activation. A secondary interim aim of the trial was to evaluate the feasibility of conducting a long-term RCT of music education in a first cohort, measured by participant retention, adherence to the program, willingness to continue at the 12-month mark, and fidelity. Progress: Recruitment, screening, baseline testing, randomization, and program enrollment began in August 2022, and after-school programming began in October 2022. The randomized interventions and all data for the first cohort (N = 42) have been collected. Intervention and active control programs for a second cohort are ongoing and will end in Fall 2026. Discussion: This paper reports the EXCEL trial protocol and provides feasibility estimates for implementing a long-term randomized controlled trial of music training in real-world, community-based settings with children. While similar neuroimaging RCTs are currently underway in Europe, the EXCEL trial is among the first in the United States to integrate longitudinal neuroimaging with arts intervention. Findings will inform the viability of scaling such programs and contribute to our understanding of how sustained music engagement may influence the development of inhibitory control circuitry in childhood.

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Meningitis vaccination campaign in the context of COVID-19 in Cameroon

Mbang, M. A.; Cheuyem, F. Z. L.; Tchamani, R.; Debnet, J.; Ebongo, Z. N.; Fouda, A. A. B.

2026-06-04 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354702 medRxiv
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Objective: The study aimed to describe the challenges, best practices, and lessons learned during meningitis vaccination campaigns conducted in the context of COVID-19 in Cameroon in 2020. Results: During the prevention campaigns, 3,460 individuals were selected. All were tested before the campaign (100%). Eight cases were positive, representing a positivity rate of 0.23% (8/3,460). The campaign was carried out using a fixed strategy in health facilities and prisons and a fixed-temporary strategy in communities. Most health areas received sufficient quantities of COVID-19 equipment for some items and insufficient quantities for others. No screening was done during or after the campaign. The main difficulties encountered were compliance with social distancing and the continuous wearing of gowns. The challenges faced were the screening of actors and the use of personal protective equipment. Lessons learned: aspects related to COVID-19 impacted the speed of the campaign. Vaccination coverage ranged from 91% to 140% in prisons on the one hand, and from 35% to 112% in the health areas surrounding prisons on the other. The campaign in the context of COVID-19 was effective. Compliance with barrier measures was not optimal due to difficulties encountered with aspects such as social distancing, continuous wearing of gowns, screening of participants during and after the campaign, and insufficient personal protective equipment.

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Education/training for health workers/students on inclusive and gender-affirmative care for trans and gender-diverse people: a systematic review

Xia, J.; Zhu, Z.; Zhang, G.; Shen, Q.; Su, E.; Schoones, J.; Arcelus, J.; Hu, T.; Xu, M.; Zhang, X.; Zhao, Z.; Ye, Z.; Yao, X.

2026-06-05 health policy 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354880 medRxiv
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Introduction: Trans and gender-diverse (TGD) individuals often face stigma and discrimination in healthcare, hindering access to gender-affirming care. Training healthcare workers on TGD health aims to foster inclusive and affirming care practices. This review aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of TGD health training programs for healthcare workers. Methods: This systematic review followed the PRISMA guidelines and was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023443288). We searched 13 databases for studies up to March 2024, with no language/geographic restrictions. Ten reviewers screened studies in pairs, resolving discrepancies via discussion or third-reviewer input. We included randomized/non-randomized comparative and before-after studies for quantitative analysis (mean difference [MD] or standardized mean difference [SMD] with 95% CIs) and qualitative/mixed-methods studies for thematic synthesis. Evidence certainty was assessed using GRADE (quantitative) and GRADE-CERQual (qualitative). Outcomes included knowledge, attitudes, skills, discrimination, competence, comfort, TGD quality of life, and stakeholder preferences. Results: From 20,188 records, 85 studies were included. Training appears to have improved healthcare workers' knowledge (SMD=1.08, 95% CI 0.78-1.39), attitudes (SMD=0.22, 95% CI 0.05-0.39), skills (SMD=0.96, 95% CI 0.56-1.37), competence (SMD=0.55, 95% CI 0.29-0.81), and comfort (SMD=0.69, 95% CI 0.17-1.21). Qualitative analysis of 130 findings identified 18 categories and four key themes on intervention design and impact. Conclusions: TGD training programs may enhance health workers' knowledge, attitudes, skills, competence, and comfort. Well-structured, interactive, and inclusive programs showed promise, but evidence certainty was low with limited follow-up. Further high-quality research is needed to confirm these findings.

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Who Supports the Caregivers? Perspectives on Mental Health Screening in Paediatrics.

Coscini, N.; Giallo, R.; Grobler, A.; Hiscock, H.; Mulraney, M.; Pope, N.

2026-06-08 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354967 medRxiv
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Objectives To explore caregiver and clinicians perspectives on implementing mental health conversations and supports for caregivers of children with chronic conditions in paediatric outpatient clinics. Specifically, views were sought on (a) screening approaches and measures (phase 1) and (b) how feedback and support could be provided to caregivers experiencing mental health difficulties (phase 2). Methods Caregivers and clinicians from two outpatient clinics (neuromuscular and diabetes) at a tertiary paediatric hospital in Melbourne, Australia participated in online focus groups in July and August 2024. Caregivers were recruited from outpatient clinics and clinicians were recruited via email. Both groups were combined for phase 1 before separating into breakout rooms for phase 2. Two authors conducted reflexive thematic analysis of transcripts using NVivo. Results Sixteen participants (caregivers n = 8; and clinicians n = 8) took part in in two semi-structured focus groups. Analysis generated two overarching domains, each comprising multiple themes. Domain 1, Addressing caregiver mental health, captured themes of overwhelm and invisibility, diverse caregiving roles, and the need for time and resources to support wellbeing conversations. Domain 2, Housing the mental health conversation, encompassed themes of screening preferences, caregiver agency in confidentiality, delivery of feedback, and access to tailored supports. Conclusions Caregivers and clinicians support routine caregiver mental health discussions in paediatric outpatient settings. Caregivers favour screening at diagnosis and key transitions, with clear, and actionable feedback delivered away from the child. Questions about record-keeping warrant further exploration, as do the perspectives of fathers.

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Influencers, not just adverts: social media influencer exposure and tobacco use among urban youth in Kampala and Nairobi - a comparative mixed methods study

Jawahar Kanth, J. S.; Anish, T. M. R.; Odhiambo, B.; Lwembawo, K. D.; Micheal, S.; Arinaitwe, J.; Nakiyingi, L.

2026-06-10 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355037 medRxiv
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Tobacco control treaties were written for billboards and television, not for the people now selling lifestyles to young Africans. As mobile internet saturates East African cities, social media influencers have become an unmeasured channel, especially when it comes to tobacco promotion. We assessed the prevalence of tobacco use, its association with influencer exposure, and how urban youth interpret that exposure in two capitals with different tobacco laws. We conducted a comparative mixed-methods study among youth aged 18-29 years in Kampala, Uganda, and Nairobi, Kenya (January-August 2025), combining (i) a cross-sectional survey using systematic sampling at youth-dense venues (n=772), (ii) four online focus group discussions (FGDs; n=40), and (iii) content analysis of 30 tobacco-related posts from high-reach influencers (greater than 50,000 followers). We used chi-square tests and multivariable logistic regression, thematic analysis (Braun and Clarke), and descriptive engagement metrics. Ever tobacco use among urban youth in East Africa was 29.3% (226/772), similar in Kampala (30.7%) and Nairobi (28.0%; p=0.409). After adjustment, exposure to influencers promoting tobacco independently predicted ever use (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29-2.82; p=0.001), alongside male sex (aOR 2.35) and age 26-29 years (aOR 1.99). Tertiary education (aOR 0.45) and never seeing tobacco content (aOR 0.26) were protective. Posts framed tobacco as aspirational lifestyle; 77% of sampled comments were positive and 47.5% expressed interest in trying the product. Influencer exposure behaved as a modifiable risk factor of a magnitude comparable to established demographic drivers. Tobacco control in the region must move from print-era advertising bans to platform governance, mandatory disclosure of paid promotion, and youth-led counter-marketing.

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Inequalities in physical fitness in children with hearing loss: a systematic review and meta-analysis with implications for inclusive physical education and school curriculum

Diaz-Franco, M. V.; Caniuqueo-Vargas, A.; Lasekan, O. A.; Castillo-Sarmiento, C. A.; Rodriguez-Martin, B.

2026-06-09 otolaryngology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355131 medRxiv
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Background: Childhood and adolescent hearing loss affects not only communication and cognitive development but also motor skills and school participation. Consequently, it generates inequalities in learning and educational inclusion. Nevertheless, no systematic review has yet analyzed these differences from an inclusive education perspective. Methods: A systematic review with meta-analysis was conducted following PRISMA guidelines and registered in PROSPERO. Observational studies comparing physical fitness between children and adolescents with hearing loss and their hearing peers were included. Methodological quality was assessed using the Newcastle--Ottawa Scale, and standardized effect sizes were calculated with a random-effects model. Results: Five studies (n=404) were analyzed. Findings revealed significant differences in strength, agility, speed, and balance. Moreover, the meta-analysis showed a large standardized effect favoring hearing children (ES=-2.35; 95% CI: -3.34 to -1.37). Conclusions: Children and adolescents with hearing loss present significantly lower physical fitness, which may affect the planning of physical education activities if their capacities are misinterpreted. Implementing inclusive and adapted strategies within the school curriculum is essential to ensure equal opportunities, improve physical fitness, and promote educational equity.

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Socio-demographic Correlates of Prolonged Amenorrhea and Menopausal Transition among Nigerian Women Aged 30-49: Evidence from the 2024 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey

Ogunsemoyin, O.; Ayinmoro, A. D.

2026-06-09 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355063 medRxiv
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Introduction Menopause is a central marker of reproductive ageing, but national evidence on menstrual cessation among Nigerian women in the late reproductive ages remains limited. This study examined the prevalence and socio-demographic correlates of prolonged amenorrhea/possible menopausal transition among Nigerian women aged 30-49 years. Methods The study used the women's individual recode file from the 2024 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey. The analytic sample was restricted to women aged 30-49 years, excluding women who were currently pregnant, currently or postpartum amenorrheic, and those with invalid or special responses on time since last menstrual period. The final sample comprised 14,223 women. The outcome combined women whose last menstrual period occurred 12 or more months before the survey, and women reported as being in menopause. Weighted descriptive statistics, design-adjusted bivariate tests and survey-weighted binary logistic regression were used. Results The weighted prevalence of prolonged amenorrhea/possible menopausal transition was 7.6%. Prevalence rose from 1.2% among women aged 30-34 years to 23.6% among women aged 45-49 years. In the adjusted model, women aged 35-39 years (OR=1.64; p=0.030), 40-44 years (OR=6.20; p<0.001) and 45-49 years (OR=24.51; p<0.001) had higher odds than women aged 30-34 years. Primary education (OR=1.65; p=0.004), middle wealth status (OR=1.37; p=0.043) and poorest wealth status (OR=1.60; p=0.024) were associated with higher odds. Muslim affiliation (OR=0.72; p=0.024) and traditional contraceptive use (OR=0.24; p<0.001) were associated with lower odds. Conclusion Prolonged amenorrhea/possible menopausal transition among Nigerian women aged 30-49 is strongly age-patterned and socially differentiated. The findings support the need to make midlife menstrual health more visible within reproductive, family planning and primary healthcare services. Because the measure is based on survey-reported menstrual recency, it should not be interpreted as clinically confirmed natural menopause.

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Estimating Infectious Disease Importation Risk during the 2026 FIFA World Cup

Herrera-Diestra, J. L.; Bi, K.; Ptak, S.; Ertem, Z.; Al-amery, A.; Harris, M.; Meyers, L. A.

2026-06-04 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354828 medRxiv
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Background. The 2026 FIFA World Cup will bring an estimated 1--5~million international visitors to 11~US host cities between June~11 and July~19, 2026---the largest tournament in history. Large-scale international gatherings accelerate importation of infectious diseases from diverse source populations. Advance estimation of importation risk is essential for public health preparedness and surveillance prioritization. Methods. We developed a Poisson importation framework applied to five diseases (dengue fever, influenza, malaria, measles, and pertussis) across the 11~US venue cities. Three nested travel models of increasing resolution were constructed: a baseline model using routine June~2024 arrival data; a World Cup--adjusted model incorporating projected visitor growth factors; and a schedule-driven model routing WC fans to specific cities based on match assignments. WHO incidence and BTS T-100 routing fractions were combined with Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation (5,000 Uniform draws on under-reporting and travel-while-infectious parameters) to yield median importation estimates with 95\% uncertainty intervals. Results. Dengue posed the highest importation risk at most venue cities under the schedule-driven model (median $\Lambda > 10$ expected importations from Brazil alone; 95\% uncertainty interval 5.9--33.1), robust across the full literature-supported parameter range; Atlanta was the exception, where malaria probability exceeded dengue, driven by direct travel from West and Central African nations. Influenza ranked second at most cities, coinciding with the Southern Hemisphere winter peak. Pertussis showed broad geographic spread but carries the widest relative uncertainty, as the assumed detection rate sits at the upper bound of the literature range. Background tourism accounted for the dominant share of total importation risk; the World Cup fan increment contributed approximately 8.3\% of projected arrivals for WC-qualified nations. Conclusions. This Poisson importation framework, built entirely from publicly available data, provides reproducible importation risk estimates for mass gathering events. The framework extends to additional diseases, cities, and gatherings, offering a transparent baseline complementary to proprietary modeling systems.

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Disentangling infectiousness and susceptibility by age group using transmission pair data: a study of SARS-CoV-2 household transmission

Leung, K. Y.; Miura, F.; Backer, J. A.

2026-06-05 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354892 medRxiv
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Background Differential contributions to transmission across age groups have been reported for many respiratory infections, including SARS-CoV-2. They are crucial for estimating the impact of age-specific interventions. Disentangling these age-dependent contributions remains challenging, as they may reflect differences in contact rates, biological susceptibility, or infectiousness. Aim We aim to jointly estimate age-specific per-contact infectiousness and susceptibility and their effect on the impact of age-specific interventions. Methods The age-specific infectiousness and susceptibility were jointly estimated in a Bayesian framework by combining contact data with transmission pair data (who-infected-whom). We applied this approach to 197,840 self-reported household transmission pairs collected in the Netherlands during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using these estimates, we projected the expected impact of school closure and work-from-home measures during the early stages of an epidemic in the absence of other interventions. Results Both infectiousness and susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection were lowest in children aged 0-9 years and highest in adults over 30 years old, with 2- to 4.5-fold differences between these groups. Projected impacts of age-specific interventions indicated that school closures would reduce the reproduction number by 8% or 29% when age-specific susceptibility and infectiousness were or were not considered, respectively. Conversely, working-from-home policies would lead to reductions of 41% with and 20% without age-specific infectiousness and susceptibility. Conclusion Our method enables robust estimation of age-specific infectiousness and susceptibility. Accounting for these age heterogeneities is essential for projecting the impact of age-targeted interventions. Our approach is adaptable to other respiratory infections and can guide more tailored public health responses.

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Gendered pathways to adolescent mental health: An empirical assessment of a new conceptual framework

Alaze, A.; Hagen, D.; Schamberger, T.; Razum, O.; Miani, C.

2026-06-10 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355310 medRxiv
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Introduction Gender norms and roles are important determinants of physical and mental health in the key period of adolescence. Yet, the gendered pathways to mental health in adolescents are not fully understood. Using a conceptual framework for global adolescent mental health that we developed based on a Delphi process, we empirically investigated the associations between six gender-related constructs and adolescent mental health. Methods We used cross-sectional Gender and Adolescence: Global Evidence (GAGE) data from Ethiopia (2020) to explore the associations between sex, gender norms, psychological competencies, gender attitudes, gender roles, with the latter two also serving as mediators, and psychological distress (GHQ-12), using Structural Equation Modelling (SEM). Results The SEM model contained measurements from 1,584 adolescents, including 843 girls and 741 boys, with a median age of 13 years. Out of 14 pathways tested, we found statistically significant associations between psychological competencies and psychological distress; sex and gender attitudes; and between gender norms and psychological competencies, gender attitudes, and gender roles. Hence, the gender-related constructs were mostly associated with each other, rather than with psychological distress. Conclusion The gender-related constructs are strongly interrelated, thereby attenuating their individual effects on psychological distress. The interplay of gender-related constructs should be considered when developing interventions to promote mental health in adolescents.

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Universal Periodic Review recommendations and trajectories of maternal health between 2005 and 2023: a longitudinal ecological analysis of 89 countries

Uppal, A.; Thomas, R.; De Pasquale, M.; Sillo, J.; Getahun, H.

2026-06-05 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354800 medRxiv
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Background: The Universal Periodic Review (UPR) is a peer-review mechanism established to hold UN Member States accountable for human rights including the right to health, yet evidence on its impact on health outcomes is limited. We evaluated whether UPR engagement is associated with accelerated improvements in maternal health trajectories. Methods and Findings: We conducted a longitudinal ecological analysis of 89 countries with a baseline maternal mortality ratio (MMR) of 70 or greater per 100,000 live births in 2005. Outcomes were trajectories of annual MMR, skilled birth attendance (SBA), and contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR), from 2005 to 2023. The exposure was the volume of health-related UPR recommendations received across three cycles, thematically classified using a validated rule-based algorithm. Mixed-effects models adjusted for time-varying GDP per capita and historical fragility. The 89 countries received 41,733 UPR recommendations across three cycles, of which 405 (1%) were related to maternal health. Maternal health recommendations were preferentially directed at countries with higher baseline MMR and lower SBA. After adjustment, each additional maternal health recommendation was associated with a 0.24% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.08, 0.40] faster annual reduction in MMR, a 0.52% [0.12, 0.91] faster annual gain in the odds of SBA, and a 0.21% [0.09, 0.34] faster annual gain in the odds of CPR. Broader recommendations on women's health and health systems and services were also associated with faster annual improvements in trajectories across all three outcomes; recommendations on abortion, family planning, sexual health and wellbeing, and sexual education tended to be directed towards lower-burden countries and were not associated with differences in any trajectories. It is important to note that the ecological design precludes causal inference. Conclusions: Receiving UPR recommendations on the themes of maternal health, womens health, and health systems and services are associated with accelerated improvements in maternal health trajectories among high-burden countries. These findings suggest that international human rights accountability mechanisms may have a role in supporting national progress on maternal health.

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Shifting patterns of importation risk of Bundibugyo Ebola virus disease to Europe under outbreak expansion scenarios

Fanelli, F.; Parino, F.; Poletto, C.; Colizza, V.

2026-06-04 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.31.26354511 medRxiv
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The 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has already generated international spread to Uganda, raising concerns about further regional and international dissemination. Using International Air Transport Association origin-destination passenger flows, we assessed relative exposure to Ebola virus disease importation into Europe under six outbreak expansion scenarios reflecting plausible pathways of geographical spread, including cross-border transmission and amplification in highly connected regional capitals. Relative exposure patterns remained largely unchanged under localized transmission in eastern DRC and border-spillover scenarios. Expansion into South Sudan generated a first structural increase in importation pressure to Europe through the connectivity associated with Juba, while hypothetical amplification in Kampala, Kigali, and Kinshasa substantially increased importation pressure and reshaped exposure patterns across Europe. Across all scenarios, France, Italy, and the United Kingdom remained among the most exposed countries. Mobility-informed scenario analyses support preparedness as the geography of the outbreak evolves.