Back

International Journal of Public Health

Frontiers Media SA

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match International Journal of Public Health's content profile, based on 17 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Temporal features of the built environment and associations with drowning mortality: A global satellite-based analysis

Essex, R.; Lim, S.; Jagnoor, J.

2026-04-21 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.19.26351237 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
1.7%
Show abstract

BackgroundDrowning remains a major global public health challenge. This study examined whether the timing and trajectories of urbanisation--beyond the current built environment--are associated with subnational drowning mortality. MethodsWe linked satellite-derived measures of built-environment change (GHSL), population crowding (WorldPop), surface water exposure (JRC Global Surface Water), and infrastructure proxies (VIIRS/DMSP nighttime lights) to GBD 2021 drowning mortality estimates across 203 ADM1 regions in 12 countries (2006-2021; 3,248 region-year observations). Temporal predictors captured recent expansion, development "newness" ([≤]10-year built share), acceleration/volatility, and a crowdingxgrowth interaction. We screened predictors using LASSO (10-fold cross-validation) and fitted mixed-effects models with region random intercepts. Distributed-lag models tested temporal precedence and development age, and income-stratified models assessed heterogeneity. ResultsAdding temporal predictors improved fit beyond contemporaneous built-environment measures ({Delta}AIC=177; {Delta}BIC=147). In adjusted models, crowdingxgrowth was strongly positively associated with drowning mortality, and a higher share of recent development was associated with higher mortality. Lag models showed a development age gradient: older built environment was most protective. Associations differed by income group, with several key coefficients reversing sign across strata. DiscussionDrowning mortality appears shaped by development histories as well as present-day conditions, with risk concentrated in rapidly changing, dense settings and the newest built environments. Cross-context heterogeneity suggests mechanisms and prevention priorities are unlikely to be uniform. ConclusionsDevelopment timing and trajectories help explain subnational drowning mortality beyond current built form alone. Prevention and planning should prioritise transition-period safety strategies in newly developing and rapidly densifying areas.

2
Educational Inequalities in Well-Being in Later Life in Germany: The Role of Health Behaviours and Health Literacy

Franzese, F.; Bergmann, M.; Burzynska, A.

2026-04-24 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351388 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
1.7%
Show abstract

Socioeconomic inequalities in health and well-being are a major public health concern, particularly in ageing populations. Education is a key determinant shaping multiple aspects of health outcomes. We used cross-sectional data from wave 9 of the German sample (n=4,148) of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) to test whether formal education is associated with well-being in later adulthood, with health literacy, self-rated health, and preventive health behaviours as possible mediators. Our results showed that education was positively associated with greater well-being, but only via indirect pathways. Specifically, self-rated health, health literacy, and fruit and vegetable consumption mediated the relationship between education and well-being accounting for 54.7, 24.7, and 12.6 percent of the total effect, respectively. In addition, there were significant positive correlations between education and health literacy, as well as high-intensity physical activity, daily fruit and vegetable consumption, more preventive health check-ups, and less smoking. In contrast, alcohol consumption was more common among those with higher levels of education. All health behaviours and health literacy were correlated directly or indirectly (i.e., mediated by health) with well-being. These findings highlight the importance of examining indirect pathways linking education to well-being in later life. Interventions aimed at improving health literacy and promoting healthy behaviours may help reduce educational inequalities in quality of life among older adults.

3
Trends and epidemiological profile of preventable hospitalizations in Honduras (2014 - 2024): An 11-year analysis of ambulatory care sensitive conditions

Alfaro, H. E.; Lara-Arevalo, J.

2026-04-24 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351522 medRxiv
Top 0.2%
1.0%
Show abstract

Ambulatory Care Sensitive Conditions (ACSCs) are conditions for which effective and timely primary health care (PHC) can prevent hospitalizations. They are widely used as a proxy indicator of access to and quality of PHC. Despite their relevance, evidence from Central America remains scarce. This study aimed to quantify the burden, describe the epidemiological profile, and assess temporal trends of ACSCs hospitalizations in Honduras from 2014 to 2024. We conducted a retrospective observational study using national administrative hospital discharge data from all Ministry of Health hospitals. ACSCs were defined using a standardized list of 20 diagnostic groups based on ICD-10 codes. We estimated percentages and sex-age-standardized hospitalization rates per 10,000 inhabitants. Clinical indicators included length of stay (LOS) and in-hospital fatality rates. Temporal trends were evaluated using joinpoint regression models to estimate annual percent changes (APC). Analyses included stratification by age, sex, and disease category. A total of 4,023,944 hospitalizations were analyzed, of which 547,486 (13.6%) were classified as ACSCs. The overall sex-age-standardized rate was 54.1 per 10,000 inhabitants. ACSCs' standardized rates increased between 2014 and 2018 (APC: 2.7%; 95% CI: -2.4; 15.2), declined sharply between 2018 and 2021 (APC: -17.8%; 95% CI: -30.6; -10.3), and increased again between 2021 and 2024 (APC: 15.9%; 95% CI: 4.6; 37.6). Despite this rebound, rates remained below pre-pandemic levels. ACSCs were concentrated among children under 5 years (27.7%) and adults aged 60 years and older (29.9%). Noncommunicable diseases accounted for 56.8% of cases, with diabetes mellitus as the leading cause. Compared with non-ACSCs hospitalizations, ACSCs were associated with longer LOS (4.9 vs. 3.9 days; p <0.001) and higher in-hospital fatality rates (2.4% vs. 1.7%; p <0.001). ACSCs hospitalizations constitute a substantial burden in Honduras and reflect persistent gaps in PHC performance. Strengthening PHC resilience and capacity, particularly for chronic disease management and vulnerable populations, is essential to reduce avoidable hospitalizations and improve health system efficiency and equity.

4
Built environment characteristics and drowning mortality: A global satellite-based analysis of urbanisation, infrastructure, and water proximity

Essex, R.; Lim, S.; Jagnoor, J.

2026-04-21 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.19.26351236 medRxiv
Top 0.4%
0.7%
Show abstract

Drowning remains a major global public health challenge, yet how built environment characteristics shape population-level drowning risk remains poorly understood. This study linked satellite-derived built environment data to subnational drowning mortality estimates across 203 regions in 12 countries from 2006-2021. It found that built environment associations with drowning mortality are complex, non-linear, and shaped by development context. Urban extent was strongly protective, while built area near water showed protection overall but increased risk when combined with high population crowding. Almost all drowning mortality variance occurred between regions rather than within regions over time, indicating risk is predominantly determined by place-based characteristics. Income-stratified analyses revealed profound heterogeneity: crowding was protective in low-to middle-income settings but near-null in high-income regions, while waterfront development captured very different realities across contexts. These findings highlight the importance of tailoring drowning prevention strategies to local built environment configurations and development contexts.

5
Drivers and barriers to the implementation of the school feeding values-based food procurement guidelines and ultra-processed food restrictions

Fernandes Davies, V.; Perrut, I.; Thow, A.-M.; Duran, A. C.

2026-04-24 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351508 medRxiv
Top 0.5%
0.7%
Show abstract

Objective: To investigate in the National School Feeding Program (PNAE) the local level drivers and barriers to the implementation of four guidelines: the banning of sugary drinks; restrictions on the procurement of processed and ultra-processed foods; the mandatory increase in weekly servings of fruits and vegetables offered to students; and mandatory direct procurement from family farmers. Design: Qualitative study that used semi-structured interviews. Street level bureaucracy theory informed the theoretical framework and thematic analysis. Setting: Brazilian municipalities, across the country five geographic regions (North, Northeast, Southeast, South, and Midwest). Participants: Stakeholders (e.g. nutritionists, school cooks, and food procurement managers) involved in the local implementation of the PNAE program across the country. Results: Ninety stakeholders were interviewed. Stakeholders reported having autonomy to perform their activities, collaboration and support from other members within the local government and food providers, adequate infrastructure such as a well-equipped kitchens, the availability of trained personnel, and political commitment as drivers for optimum program implementation. Reported barriers included lack of support and resistance to change among cooks, teachers and parents; insufficient physical and human resources; and limited political commitment. When barriers outweighed drivers, interviewees reported adapting their practices, often in restrictive ways that could compromise the implementation of the program. Conclusions: Drivers and barriers to local PNAE implementation were generally similar across studied municipalities, although their magnitude varied. In contexts of greater economic vulnerability and fiscal constraint, additional support and targeted actions from the federal government may be required to strengthen local implementation

6
Stakeholder-engagement on assessment of implementation considerations for food-policy interventions for prevention of overweight and obesity in Kenya and evaluation of the engagement process

Wanjau, M. N.; Mecca, L.; Opiyo, R. O.; Mounsey, S.; Mwangi, K. J.; Veerman, L.; Kivuti-Bitok, L. W.

2026-04-20 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.18.26351190 medRxiv
Top 0.6%
0.5%
Show abstract

IntroductionIncreasing global prevalence of overweight and obesity underscores the need for context-specific evidence to guide preventive policy implementation. Previous modelling showed that promoting healthy indigenous foods, implementing a 20% tax on sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs), and introducing mandatory kilojoule menu labelling in formal-sector restaurants in Kenya were health-promoting, cost-saving, and cost-effective. Cost-effectiveness evidence is strengthened when considered alongside broader policy implementation considerations. We engaged stakeholders to assess additional implementation considerations relevant to decision-makers and to evaluate the stakeholder engagement process used in the modelling study. MethodsUsing the Assessing Cost-Effectiveness approach, we conducted a stakeholder-engaged study with national-level Kenya stakeholders recruited through purposive and snowball sampling. Through deliberative dialogue at a hybrid workshop, stakeholders assessed implementation considerations such as equity, feasibility and sustainability using a colour-coded scoring tool. We evaluated the engagement process using an anonymous survey covering seven stakeholder-engaged research domains. We analysed responses thematically. ResultsAcross the three interventions, most implementation considerations for feasibility, reach and impact, affordability, acceptability, and sustainability were assessed as medium or high. Industry acceptability of kilojoule labelling and SSB tax and affordability of kilojoule labelling to industry were rated low. Equity scores varied. Stakeholders proposed complementary measures that could raise low ratings to favorable scores. Clarity on stakeholder roles was identified as a key strength of the engagement process, while competing time commitments limited participation. ConclusionStakeholder insights contextualise prior cost-effectiveness evidence within policy-relevant implementation considerations and inform current fiscal and regulatory debates. Evaluation of the stakeholder engagement process underscores its contribution to strengthening public health research.

7
Physical Activity Levels and Associated Factors among Upper Primary School Children in Lusaka, Zambia: Implications for Health Interventions.

Himalowa, S.; Zulu, J.; Haakonde, T.; Lupenga, J.; Kunda, R.; Colgrove, Y.; Frantz, J.; Mweshi, M. M.; Banda, M.

2026-04-19 rehabilitation medicine and physical therapy 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351077 medRxiv
Top 0.7%
0.4%
Show abstract

Introduction: Physical inactivity and sedentary behaviour are significant risk factors for noncommunicable diseases. Engaging in regular physical activity (PA) during childhood is crucial for preventing long-term health burdens. This study examined PA levels and associated factors among upper primary school children in Lusaka, Zambia. Methodology: A cross-sectional survey was conducted from August to October 2022 among 638 children aged 9-18 years from six public and six private schools. Data were collected using the Physical Activity Questionnaire for Children (PAQ-C), Youth Risk Behaviour Survey (YRBS), Model of Youth Physical Activity Questionnaire (MYPA), and 3-Day Physical Activity Recall Questionnaire (3DPAR). Analyses included descriptive statistics, Chi-square, Fishers exact tests and multivariable binary logistic regression at a 0.05 significance level and 95% confidence interval. Results: Most participants (82%) were insufficiently active, with only 18% achieving sufficient PA. Reported barriers included lack of playgrounds or parks near home (p=0.012), neighbourhood safety concerns (p=0.041), and limited parental supervision (p=0.006). Watching television reduced the odds of PA by 69% (aOR=0.31; 95% CI: 0.13-0.75). Conversely, peer support increased activity by 15% (aOR=1.15, 95% CI: 0.67-1.97), while not being concerned about showering or fixing hair after PA increased activity by 94% (aOR=1.94; 95% CI: 1.21-3.11). Conclusion: The majority of school children in this study did not meet recommended PA levels. Barriers to activity included personal, parental, and environmental factors. Interventions should prioritise safe play spaces, increased parental and peer support, and reduced screen time to curb future non-communicable disease risks.

8
Effects of Mindfulness-Based Interventions on Executive Function in Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Li, N.

2026-04-20 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.18.26351184 medRxiv
Top 0.8%
0.4%
Show abstract

BackgroundMindfulness-based interventions (MBIs) have been increasingly adopted in educational settings to support cognitive development in youth. Executive function (EF)--encompassing inhibitory control, working memory, and cognitive flexibility--is a plausible target of MBI given its reliance on attention regulation. However, prior reviews have yielded mixed conclusions, partly due to inconsistent construct definitions and the pooling of heterogeneous outcome measures. ObjectivesTo (1) estimate the pooled effect of MBI on EF in youth aged 3-18 years using only construct-validated, direct EF measures, (2) examine potential moderators including age group, EF domain, and risk of bias, and (3) test dose-response relationships via meta-regression on intervention duration. MethodsWe searched PubMed, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Scopus, and Web of Science from inception to March 2026, supplemented by reference-list searches from two existing systematic reviews and a scoping review. Only English-language publications were eligible. Eligible studies were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) or quasi-RCTs of MBI (excluding yoga-only interventions) in typically developing youth, with at least one direct behavioural or computerised EF outcome. Risk of bias was assessed using Cochrane RoB 2. Hedges g was computed for each study, and pooled using a DerSimonian-Laird random-effects model. Subgroup analyses by age group, EF domain, and risk of bias were conducted, alongside leave-one-out sensitivity analyses, Eggers regression test, trim-and-fill, and Knapp-Hartung-adjusted meta-regression on intervention duration. Evidence certainty was rated using GRADE. ResultsThirteen RCTs (nine school-age, four preschool; total N = 1,560) met inclusion criteria. The pooled effect was g = 0.365 (95% CI 0.264 to 0.465; p < .00001), with negligible heterogeneity (I2 = 0.0%; Q = 6.76, p = .87). Effects were consistent across age groups (school-age g = 0.389; preschool g = 0.318) and EF domains (inhibitory control, working memory, cognitive flexibility; pbetween = .60). Meta-regression on intervention duration (4-20 weeks) was non-significant (p = .79). The effect was robust in leave-one-out analyses, in the low risk-of-bias subgroup (g = 0.361; k = 8), and after trim-and-fill adjustment (g = 0.354). The 95% prediction interval (0.252 to 0.477) was entirely positive. GRADE certainty was rated MODERATE, downgraded once for risk of bias. ConclusionsMBIs appear to produce a small, statistically significant improvement in EF in youth aged 3-18 years, with moderate certainty of evidence per the GRADE framework. The effect is consistent across preschool and school-age samples and across EF domains, with no significant dose-response relationship within the 4-20 week range studied. Emerging mediation evidence suggests that EF improvement may serve as an important pathway through which MBI supports emotion regulation, though this requires replication. Further large-scale, pre-registered RCTs with active control conditions and longitudinal follow-up are warranted.

9
Accessibility and regional disparities in nationwide 24-hour home medical care: A quantitative evaluation using the enhanced two-step floating catchment area method

Egashira, Y.; Watanabe, R.

2026-04-20 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.18.26351162 medRxiv
Top 0.8%
0.3%
Show abstract

With Japans rapidly aging population, demand for home healthcare is projected to increase by 62% by 2040. This study quantitatively evaluated accessibility to 24-hour home healthcare and regional disparities across all 335 secondary medical areas (SMAs) in Japan using the Enhanced Two-Step Floating Catchment Area (E2SFCA) method. We conducted a nationwide cross-sectional study analyzing approximately 430,000 population points at 500-meter mesh resolution. The E2SFCA integrated demand (age-adjusted population), supply (24-hour home care support clinics and hospitals), and transportation (road networks). Accessibility scores (ASs) and Gini coefficients were calculated for each SMA. Wards hierarchical cluster analysis classified regional types, and multiple regression based on the Penchansky and Thomas five-dimensional access framework identified factors associated with the median AS (ASM) and Gini coefficient. The median ASM was 45.71 (0.00-153.49), and the median Gini coefficient was 0.33 (0.06-0.93). Cluster analysis identified six types ranked by descending ASM, from C1 (high access, equitable; n = 48) to C6 (access desert; n = 23). C6 had a median ASM of 0.00 and Gini coefficient of 0.74, indicating virtually no access within a 30-minute catchment. Home-visit standardized claim ratios, used as external validation, declined monotonically from C1 (125.6) to C6 (17.6). For ASM, 24-hour visiting nursing stations ({beta} = +0.369) and clinic physicians ({beta} = +0.342) showed the strongest positive associations, with non-residential area negatively associated ({beta} = -0.273). For the Gini coefficient, non-residential area showed the strongest positive association ({beta} = +0.523). Taxable income per taxpayer was not significantly associated with either outcome. Non-residential area was associated with both lower accessibility and greater intra-regional inequality, suggesting that geographic constraints may limit the effectiveness of resource investment alone. Uniform nationwide implementation of policies shifting care from long-term care beds to home healthcare may not be feasible; region-specific approaches considering geographic characteristics are necessary.

10
Violence exposure and mental health problems among school-aged children in a South African birth cohort

Bailey, M.; Hammerton, G.; Fairchild, G.; Tsunga, L.; Hoffman, N.; Burd, T.; Shadwell, R.; Danese, A.; Armour, C.; Zar, H. J.; Stein, D. J.; Donald, K. A.; Halligan, S. L.

2026-04-22 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351289 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.3%
Show abstract

ObjectiveThere is little longitudinal research investigating links between violence exposure and mental disorders among children in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), despite high rates of violence. We examined cross-sectional and longitudinal violence-mental health associations among children in a large South African birth cohort, the Drakenstein Child Health Study, including direct clinical interviews capturing childrens mental disorders. MethodIn this birth cohort (N=974), we assessed lifetime violence exposure and four subtypes (witnessed community, community victimization, witnessed domestic, domestic victimization) at ages 4.5 and 8-years via caregiver reports. At 8-years, caregivers completed the Child Behaviour Checklist; and psychiatric disorders were assessed using the Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview for Children and Adolescents, a self-report measure. We tested for associations using linear/logistic regressions, adjusted for confounders. ResultsMost children (91%) had experienced violence by 8-years. Cross-sectionally, total violence exposure was associated with total (B =0.49 [95% CI 0.32, 0.66]), internalizing (0.32 [0.17, 0.47]), and externalizing problems (0.46 [0.31, 0.61]), and with increased odds of disorder at 8 years (aOR=1.09 [1.05, 1.13]). Longitudinally, total violence exposure up to 4.5-years was associated with total (B=0.27 [0.03, 0.52]), internalizing (0.24 [0.04. 0.44]), and externalizing scores (0.23 [0.008, 0.45]) at 8-years, but not with increased risk of psychiatric disorders. The strongest and most consistent associations were observed for domestic versus community violence subtypes. ConclusionOur strong cross-sectional but weaker longitudinal findings suggest that recent violence exposures may be more critical than early exposures for childrens mental health. Longitudinal exploration of other violence-affected LMIC populations is urgently needed.

11
A rights-based intervention integrating social work and ophthalmic care for people experiencing or at risk of homelessness

Hassani, A.; Pecar, K.; Soliman, M.; Bunyon, P.; Ellinger, C.; Tulysewskid, G.; Croft, J.; Carillo, C.; Wewegama, G.; du Plessis-Schneider, S.; Estevez, J. J.

2026-04-24 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351525 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.3%
Show abstract

Background Individuals experiencing or at risk of homelessness face substantial barriers to preventive eye care that are poorly addressed by standard service models. Interdisciplinary optometry-social work collaboration offers a rights-based approach to improving engagement and continuity of care. Methods A convergent mixed-methods study was conducted between February and August 2024 at a multidisciplinary community centre. Clients experiencing or at risk of homelessness received integrated optometry and social work assessment and were prioritised as high, medium, or low based on combined clinical and social risk. Social work follow-up was guided by the Triple Mandate and W-Questions framework. Quantitative data were summarised using mean (SD), median [IQR], or n (%). Qualitative case notes were analysed using content analysis with inductive coding and secondary review for consistency. Results A total of 165 clients had priority categories coded (high: 68; medium: 47; low: 154). Demographic data were available for 132 clients (60% male; mean age 49.5 years [SD 16]); 27% had not completed high school, 89% reported weekly income below AUD 1000, and 28% had vision impairment. Two hundred forty-five case-note entries were consolidated into 146 unique records. SMS (46%) and phone calls (38%) were the most documented contact methods, although only 21% of calls were answered; missed calls (13%) and disconnected numbers (7%) were common. Multi-modal contact was more frequently documented for higher-priority clients. Appointment assistance was the most recorded facilitator (71%), while rights-based supports, including interpreter and transport assistance, were infrequently documented (<=5%). Qualitative analysis identified unstable communication, reliance on informal supports, and service fragmentation as key influences on recall outcomes. Conclusion This study supports an interdisciplinary, rights-based optometry-social work model to address barriers to preventive eye care among people experiencing or at risk of homelessness. Embedding structured handovers and tiered recall processes within community-based services may strengthen continuity and accountability for high-priority clients. Future implementation should evaluate outcomes related to equity of reach, service integration, and sustained engagement in care.

12
Family Constellations for All Clinical Conditions: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Showing a Lack of Supporting Evidence

Souza, F. L.; Cabral Souza, N.; Mendes, J. A. d. A.

2026-04-21 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.19.26351231 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.3%
Show abstract

IntroductionFamily Constellation Therapy (FCT) has been widely disseminated in clinical, public health, and judicial settings despite persistent concerns regarding its theoretical basis, safety, and the limited availability of rigorous randomised evidence supporting its clinical use. ObjectiveThe aim of this systematic review is to assess the effects of FCT across all clinical conditions, explicitly considering both benefits and harms; and summarise the characteristics of studies and intervention settings used in randomised controlled trials of FCT. MethodsFollowing a prospectively registered protocol (CRD420251136190), we conducted a systematic search of seven databases (PubMed, EMBASE, APA PsycInfo, CENTRAL, BVS, Web of Science, and CINAHL) and grey literature (ICTRP and ProQuest database) without language or date restrictions to identify published and unpublished randomised controlled trials of FCT. Study selection, data extraction, risk of bias (RoB 2), and certainty of evidence (GRADE) were performed in duplicate. Statistical analyses followed a prospectively registered analysis plan with prespecified criteria for data pooling and for handling analytical limitations. ResultsNo reliable evidence was found to support the use of FCT for any condition across both clinical and non-clinical samples. All trials included were judged to be at high risk of bias and all comparisons were rated as very low-certainty evidence. Concerns regarding potential adverse effects were identified, and the available data was insufficient to establish the effectiveness of the intervention, precluding any clinical recommendation. ConclusionClinicians, policymakers, and consumers should reconsider adopting FCT while reliable evidence is not available.

13
Vision, hearing, and intellectual disabilities in school-age children (5-19 years) in Latin America and the Caribbean

Coelho, J. A. P. d. M.; Nascimento da Paixao, A.; Guimaraes Almeida, B.; Näslund-Hadley, E.

2026-04-23 health economics 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351429 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.3%
Show abstract

Background Childhood sensory and intellectual disabilities represent significant yet under-recognized barriers to learning and human capital development. This study analyzes prevalence and severity of these conditions among 149.3 million children aged 5-19 years across 25 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) using Global Burden of Disease 2023 data. Methods We extracted GBD 2023 estimates for vision loss, hearing loss, and intellectual disability across 25 LAC countries, stratified by age, sex, and severity. Regional estimates were calculated using population-weighted averages. Severity distributions were compared with OECD countries to contextualize regional patterns. Results: These conditions are estimated to affected 9,282,921 children (6.22%; 95% UI: 5.89-6.54%). Hearing loss was predominant, affecting an estimated 5.42 million (3.63%, 3.41-3.86), with 87.6% mild-to-moderate. Intellectual disability estimated to affected 2.56 million (1.71%, 1.58-1.85), with 61.7% borderline-to-mild. Vision loss estimated to affected 1.30 million (0.87%, 0.79-0.96), with 89% that can be effectively addressed with spectacles. Prevalence increased with age across all conditions. Male predominance was consistent for intellectual disability (2.00% vs 1.42%). Annual economic cost totaled US$19.3-29.0 billion, while comprehensive interventions would require US$9.45-14.23 billion with benefit-cost ratios of 2:1 to 15:1. Conclusions The distribution of children across milder levels of difficulty underscores the opportunity for education and public health systems to provide timely and accessible support. With approximately 88% of sensory impairments addressable through established technologies, investments in inclusive services can yield strong social and economic returns.

14
Sociodemographic determinants of maternal health indicators in conflict-affected counties of Kenya: secondary analysis of data from the 2022 Kenya demographic and health survey

Wandji Djouonang, B.; Olungah, C. O.; Atsali, E.; Kihara, A.-B.; Omanwa, K.; Obimbo, M. M.; Ogengo, J.

2026-04-24 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351520 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.3%
Show abstract

Objective To analyse sociodemographic determinants of maternal health indicators in Kenyas conflict-affected regions. Methods A cross-sectional secondary analysis of the 2022 Kenya Demographic and Health Survey (KDHS) was conducted. Conflict-affected counties were identified using ACLED (>25 fatalities). The sample included 1,060 women aged 15-49 years. Outcomes were adequate antenatal care (ANC 4+), facility delivery, and skilled birth attendance (SBA). Predictors included age, education, wealth, employment, residence, and county; intimate partner violence was adjusted for. Weighted descriptive statistics, chi-square tests, and multivariable logistic regression were applied (p<0.05). Results Six counties met conflict criteria. While 90.2% of women attended at least one ANC visit, only 53.5% achieved ANC 4+. Facility delivery and SBA were 68.2% and 72.2%, respectively. Adolescents (15-19) were least likely to attain adequate ANC; women aged 20-24 had higher odds (aOR=1.83; 95% CI: 1.01-3.34). Education strongly predicted outcomes: higher education increased ANC 4+ (aOR=2.74; 95% CI: 1.19-6.34) and facility delivery (aOR=2.72; 95% CI: 1.15-6.47). Wealth showed strong gradients: middle quintile increased facility delivery (aOR=5.50; 95% CI: 2.14-14.14), while richer quintile increased SBA (aOR=11.04; 95% CI: 2.06-59.25). Rural residence reduced facility delivery (aOR=0.32) and SBA (aOR=0.22). County disparities persisted. IPV was not independently associated. Conclusion Maternal health indicators in conflict-affected Kenya follow a marked inequity gradient. Adolescents, rural residents, and socioeconomically disadvantaged women are most excluded. Strengthening adolescent ANC continuity, reducing rural access barriers, and investing in education and economic empowerment are critical for improving outcomes.

15
Assessing the efficacy of behaviourally informed invitation messaging in increasing attendance at the NHS Targeted Lung Health Check: A randomised experimental study

Tan, X.; Danka, M. N.; Urbanski, S.; Kitsawat, P.; McElvaney, T. J.; Jundi, S.; Porter, L.; Gericke, C.

2026-04-24 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350693 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.3%
Show abstract

Background: Lung cancer screening can reduce lung cancer mortality through early detection, but uptake of the NHS Targeted Lung Health Check (TLHC) programme remains low. Behaviourally informed invitation messages have been proposed as a low-cost approach to increase attendance, but evidence of their effectiveness in lung cancer screening is mixed. Few intervention studies used evidence-based behaviour change frameworks, and rarely tailored invitation strategies to empirically identified barriers and enablers. Methods: In an online experiment, 3,274 adults aged 55-74 years and with a history of smoking were randomised to see one of four behaviourally informed invitation messages or a control message. Participants then rated their intention to attend a TLHC appointment, and selected barriers and enablers to attending from a pre-defined list, which were classified according to the Theoretical Domains Framework. Invitation messages were mapped to Behaviour Change Techniques using the Theory and Techniques Tool. Message conditions were compared on intention to attend TLHC using bootstrapped ANOVA followed by pairwise comparisons. Exploratory counterfactual mediation analyses examined the role of fear in intention to attend. Results: Behaviourally informed invitation messages did not meaningfully increase intention to attend TLHC compared with the control message. While a GP-endorsed message showed a small potential benefit relative to the other conditions, this finding was not robust after adjustment for multiple comparisons. Participants most frequently reported barriers related to Emotion (particularly fear), Social Influence, and Knowledge, while Beliefs about Consequences emerged as the primary enabler of attendance. Only around half of reported barriers and enablers were addressed by the invitation messages. Exploratory analyses found that fear was associated with lower intention to attend a TLHC appointment, yet none of the behaviourally informed messages appeared to reduce fear compared to the control message. Conclusions: Improving lung cancer screening uptake will likely require invitation messages that directly address emotional concerns, particularly fear, alongside credible recommendations. These findings highlight the importance of systematically aligning invitation message content with empirically identified behavioural influences when designing scalable interventions to improve lung cancer screening uptake.

16
Global burden of stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Barre-Quick, M.; Yeh, P. T.; Kennedy, C. E.; Azuma, H.; McLellan, C.; Cooney, E. E.

2026-04-23 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351490 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.2%
Show abstract

Abstract Importance Stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse people are prevalent across many settings and may contribute to substantial health disparities. Objective To synthesize global evidence on the prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and resilience among transgender (trans) and gender-diverse adults. Data Sources A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Central, LILACS, and PsycInfo for articles published between January 1, 2010 and January 2, 2023. This database search was supplemented by grey literature and secondary reference searches. Article Selection Studies were eligible if they presented primary quantitative data on prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and/or resilience among trans and gender-diverse adults (aged 18 and over), with no restrictions on study design, language, or geographic region. Data Extraction and Synthesis Two independent reviewers extracted data using standardized forms, with discrepancies resolved by consensus. The JBI Critical Appraisal Checklist for Prevalence Articles was used to assess risk of bias. Random effects meta-analysis was conducted for dichotomous prevalence measures using inverse variance weighting and logit transformation; non-dichotomous prevalence data were summarized descriptively. Main Outcomes and Measures Outcomes included prevalence estimates for various forms of stigma (anticipated, perceived, internalized, and experienced), discrimination in legal/institutional settings (housing, healthcare, employment, police/prison), and resilience. Results A total of 97 articles, with data from 72,158 unique trans and gender-diverse participants across 26 countries, met inclusion criteria. Studies showed moderate levels of anticipated stigma, perceived stigma, and internalized stigma. Meta-analyses of 36 studies provided pooled estimates of discrimination prevalence across multiple domains: 21.4% in housing (e.g., eviction, rental denial), 24.6% in healthcare (e.g., denial of care, mistreatment), 32.8% in employment (e.g., hiring bias, workplace harassment), and 39.1% in police/prison settings (e.g., profiling, mistreatment). High heterogeneity was observed across studies, reflecting regional and methodological differences. Resilience scores ranged from moderate to high, indicating variation within trans and gender-diverse communities. Conclusions and Relevance This systematic review and meta-analysis found that stigma and discrimination against trans and gender-diverse adults are pervasive globally. Variation in stigma and discrimination across settings and regions underscores the need for targeted interventions and policy reforms. Funding World Health Organization through a grant from the Elton John AIDS Foundation and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

17
Predicting Depressive Symptoms Among Reproductive-Aged Women in Bangladesh Using Bagging Ensemble Machine Learning on Imbalanced Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey 2022 Data

Mahmud, S.; Akter, M. S.; Ahamed, B.; Rahman, A. E.; El Arifeen, S.; Hossain, A. T.

2026-04-23 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351445 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.2%
Show abstract

Background Depressive symptoms among reproductive-aged women represent a major public health concern in low- and middle-income countries, yet systematic screening remains limited. In most population survey datasets, the low prevalence of depression results in severe class imbalance, which challenges conventional machine learning models. Therefore, we develop and evaluate a bagging-based ensemble machine learning framework to predict depressive symptoms among reproductive-aged women using highly imbalanced Bangladesh demographic and health survey (BDHS) 2022 data. Methods The sample comprised women aged 15-49 years drawn from BDHS 2022 data. Depressive symptoms were defined using the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9 [&ge;]10). Candidate predictors were drawn from sociodemographic, reproductive, nutritional, psychosocial, healthcare access, and environmental domains. Feature selection was performed using Elastic Net (EN), Random Forest (RF), and XGBoost model. Five classifiers (EN, RF, Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), and Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM)) were trained using both oversampling-based approaches and the proposed ensemble framework. Model performance was evaluated on an independent test set using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1-score, and the normalized Matthews correlation coefficient (normMCC). Results Approximately 4.8% of women were identified with depressive symptoms. The proposed bagging ensemble framework consistently achieved more balanced predictive performance than oversampling-based models. Average normMCC improved from 0.540 (oversampling) to 0.557 (ensemble). RF and GBM ensembles demonstrated notable improvements in identifying depressive cases, while the EN ensemble achieved the highest overall performance and sensitivity. Threshold optimization yielded stable normMCC across models, indicating robust trade-offs between sensitivity and specificity. Conclusions Bagging-based ensemble learning provides a more robust and balanced approach than synthetic oversampling for predicting depressive symptoms in highly imbalanced population survey data. This approach has important implications for improving early identification and population-level mental health surveillance in resource-constrained settings.

18
Experiences of family caregivers regarding the health of children with congenital craniofacial anomalies in Colombia

Lafaurie, M. M.; Vargas-Escobar, L. M.; Gonzalez, M. C.; Rengifo, H. A.

2026-04-20 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351082 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.2%
Show abstract

Recognizing the challenges faced by primary caregivers regarding the health of children with congenital craniofacial anomalies (CCAs) contributes to strengthening healthcare programs according to patient[s] and families differential needs. This qualitative study presents the experiences of 25 caregivers of children with CCAs from Bogota and Cali, Colombia, identified from care registries and consultation statistics provideed from public high-complexity healthcare institutions. Grounded in Giorgis descriptive phenomenology and employing thematic analysis, this research utilized semi-structured interviews and focus groups to explore the diagnostic process and its impact, experiences with healthcare services, and the caregivers role and daily care activities. Data were analyzed using MAXQDA(R) qualitative software. Findings highlighted the emotional complexity of caring for childre[n]s health. Challenges included late diagnoses, pessimistic views of the children with CCAs condition by healthcare team members; lack of effective support, information, and guidance from health staff; absence of clear care and referral protocols, and limited access to specific adaptations and timely specialized care for children with CCAs. There were also reduced therapeutic services, and a pronounced gendered caregiving burden when responsibilities fall almost exclusively on mothers. System fragmentation, reflected in deficiencies in communication and a lack of clear, coordinated, and timely pathways of care, as well as the absence of adequate psychosocial support for families, emerged as common structural problems in healthcare services in both geographic settings where this research has been conducted. Gender-sensitive strategies focused on alleviating emotional concerns and the burden of caregiving from diagnosis onward within a patient and family-centered care model are decisive. Improving comprehensive CCAs training for healthcare personnel and making adjustments to care pathways are suggested to contribute to the implementation of inclusive health programs that address the diverse needs of children and their families.

19
Individual-and Community-Level Determinants of Zero-Dose Children in Nigeria: A Multilevel Analysis using the 2024 Nigerian Demographic and Health Survey

Mitiku, D. k.; Gessesse, A. D.; Derse, T. K.; Lidetu, T. k.; Asgai, A. S.; Kelkay, J. M.

2026-04-20 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.18.26351159 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.2%
Show abstract

BackgroundZero-dose children, defined as those who have not received the first dose of a diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis-containing vaccine (DPT1), are a key indicator of inequitable access to immunization services. Nigeria remains one of the largest contributors to the global burden of zero-dose children. This study estimated the prevalence of zero-dose children aged 12-23 months and identified individual-and community-level determinants using the 2024 Nigeria Demographic Health Survey (NDHS). MethodsA secondary analysis of cross-sectional analysis was conducted using data from 4,711 children aged 12-23 months in the 2024 NDHS kids recode dataset. A multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression model was fitted to account for the hierarchical structure of the data. Four models were compared: null, individual-level, community-level, and combined models. Adjusted odds ratios (AORs) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were used to identify significant determinants at p<0.05. ResultsThe weighted prevalence of zero-dose children was 37.3% (95% CI: 35.1-39.6%). Significant factors included birth order, maternal age, maternal occupation, parental education, household wealth, antenatal attendance, postnatal care utilization, place of delivery, religion, distance to health facilities, and geographical region. Children whose mothers had higher educational attainment, attending antenatal care, deliver in the health facilities, and received postnatal care were significantly less likely to be zero-dose status. Conversely, children from poorer households, those facing distance barriers to health facilities, those belongings to Muslim and traditional religion group and those residing in certain geographical regions had higher odds of zero-dose children, with significant regional variations observed. Conclusionzero-dose vaccination remains highly prevalent in Nigeria and is strongly influenced by socioeconomic disadvantage, maternal healthcare utilization, religion, and regional inequities. Strengthening integrated maternal and child health services and improving access in underserved regions are essential to achieving equitable vaccination coverage.

20
Effect of NHS surgical hubs on elective primary hip-and-knee replacement volume, length of stay and waiting times: national longitudinal difference-in-differences study

Wen, J.; Anteneh, Z.; Castelli, A.; Street, A.; Gutacker, N.; Scantlebury, A.; Glerum-Brooks, K.; Davies, S.; Bloor, K.; Rangan, A.; Castro Avila, A.; Lampard, P.; Adamson, J.; Sivey, P.

2026-04-22 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351383 medRxiv
Top 1%
0.2%
Show abstract

ObjectivesTo evaluate the effect of surgical hubs on the volume of surgeries, patient waiting times, and length of hospital stay for elective hip and knee replacements in the English NHS. DesignA retrospective longitudinal study using a difference-in-differences approach to compare changes in outcomes at NHS trusts that opened surgical hubs with those that did not. SettingThe study was set in the English NHS, using administrative data from NHS acute trusts providing elective hip and knee replacements between April 2014 and September 2024. ParticipantsThe study included 76 NHS trusts. The treatment group consisted of 29 trusts that opened a surgical hub for trauma and orthopaedic surgery during the study period. The control group consisted of 47 trusts that did not. 48 trusts that performed fewer than 1,000 relevant procedures over the ten-year period or that reported data for fewer than 41 of the 42 quarters in the sample period were excluded. InterventionThe phased introduction of surgical hubs dedicated to elective procedures at 29 NHS trusts between Q1 2020 and Q3 2024. Main outcome measuresThe three main outcomes were, measured at the trust-quarter level: the total number of elective primary hip and knee replacements (surgical volume), the average length of stay in hospital, and the average waiting time from being added to the waiting list to hospital admission. ResultsThe opening of a surgical hub was associated with an increase of 43.75 hip and knee replacement surgeries per quarter (95% CI: 22.22 to 65.28), which represents a 19.1% increase compared to the pre-hub mean. Length of stay was reduced by 0.32 days (95% CI: - 0.48 to -0.16), a 7.8% reduction. There was no statistically significant effect on average waiting times (-14.96 days, 95% CI: -33.11 to 3.19). ConclusionsSurgical hubs appear to be effective at increasing the number of hip and knee replacements and reducing the time patients spend in hospital. However, in this study, they did not lead to a statistically significant reduction in waiting times overall.